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Selling Pieces For May Poker Tournaments

May 9, 2012

I’m looking to sell pieces of my action for some of the bigger buy-in upcoming tournaments. This is the schedule of events I’m looking to play. I’m willing to sell up to 50% of my action in these events:

5/12, Saturday: $110 No Limit Hold Em @ Freddie’s Club Of Fife
5/13, Sunday: $215 No Limit Hold Em @ Muckleshoot
5/17-5/20: $250 No Limit Hold Em Main Event @ Tulalip
5/20, Sunday: $250 No Limit Hold Em @ All-Star Lanes
5/21, Monday: $200 H.O.R.S.E. @ Tulalip

That’s a total buy-in amount of $1025 and I’m going to be charging a mark-up of 25% to cover expenses such as food, gas, and time invested.

For example: since 10% of $1025 is $102.50, with a mark-up of 25% that 10% would actually go for $128.

So these will be my selling rates for these 5 tournaments in May:

1% = $13
5% = $65
10% = $128
15% = $192
20% = $256

Since I’m not 100% positive I’ll be playing in all these events, I would refund the investment for any tournament I don’t actually play in. Particularly, if I make it to Day 2 of the Tulalip Main Event, I would not be able to play the All-Star Lanes event as they would be on the same day.

Most of you know what I’m capable of accomplishing, but just in case anyone needs more convincing, this is my resume over the past couple years:

In 2011, I cashed in 40 of 123 live tournaments for an in the money rate of 32.5% and a total profit of $1998.75. Not bad considering my average buy-in size was roughly $25. More importantly, I finished in the top 3 in 18.7% of all tournaments and chopped first or won it outright a whopping 12.5% of the time. That’s crushing the game.

In 2011, I played in 387 online tournaments and cashed in 65 of them for an in the money rate of 16.3% and a total profit of $1321.27. Those numbers are with an average buy-in of $6.89 and an average field size of 967 players! I final tabled those massive fields 6% of the time and took 1st outright in 2% of all tournaments.

So far, in 2012, I’ve played in 128 live tournaments and cashed in 29 of them for an in the money rate of 22% and a total profit of $1651.

HOLLAR @ YOUR BOY!

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Wildhorse Casino: Poker Training

April 30, 2012

“It’s humbling, isn’t it?”

That’s what one of the regulars at my local casino said to me upon my return from the Spring Round Up at the Wildhorse Casino in Pendleton, Oregon. I’d be lying if I said she wasn’t right. This was my third trip to Pendleton and my third time coming home a loser. It doesn’t feel good and it proves I still have a long way to go as a poker player. I often get asked when I’m going to Vegas or if I’ll play the Main Event and my answer is: Let me conquer Pendleton first.

It’s not like I’m completely out of my league; there are plenty of pros that go for the series, but there are also plenty of fish and tons of money to be made in the live games. Plus, even pros are prone to making mistakes and everybody has leaks…you just have to find them and figure out how to exploit them.

My biggest problem is the kinds and sizes of the games they spread. When it comes to limit hold em–my area of expertise–the only limit they spread regularly is $4-$8, which is the exact same game I play every day back home. Whoopty doo, Basil! The most popular game at Wildhorse is the $2-$5 no limit hold em game. While I fancy myself a solid no limit player, my experience in live cash games is limited and $2-$5 plays way above my current bankroll. I’ve felt like I’ve held my own in this game, but I wouldn’t be surprised if I’m often the least experienced player at the table and have felt out of my comfort zone at times. I’m confident I can beat the game, but I can’t play it to my full ability because I’m absolutely not willing to lose a chunky portion of my bankroll playing in it. I take pride in the fact that I protect my bankroll and don’t take risky gambles with it. I am now gambling for a living–comfortably–while more accomplished players are broke, working day jobs, and advising me to take shots. “Why aren’t you playing the no limit game?” “Why are you selling your action?” Because I don’t ever want to work again in my life… that’s why.

All that said I did play 21 hours in the $2-$5 game and only lost $115 overall… But I did have the displeasure of running KK into AA for a $1200+ pot and I did turn a couple solid wins into losing sessions, which I feel reflects my inexperience as a no limit player more than a run of bad luck. The biggest thing I noticed was that I had a much tougher time the better the other players in the game were. When I was at a table of weak tight or inexperienced players, I could run over the table with little worry of anyone challenging my alpha male status or putting serious pressure on me… But I think the tougher players could sense my inexperience and continually put me in spots where I had to make difficult decisions. I wish they had a smaller no limit game that I could play in, but I suppose I just have to hope I have a bigger bankroll to work with on my next visit or maybe I will have someone back me in the cash games.

The biggest reason I had a losing trip was my first session of $4-$8 limit hold em I played. I was playing in the game with my buddy Vince and somehow we convinced the table to agree to an automatic straddle, which means that whoever was first to act after the blinds had to raise to $8 without looking at their hand… Or in the case of a kill pot, raise to $16 blind. Needless to say, it was a highly volatile game with lots of action and we were playing short-handed most of the night, which can dramatically increase short term variance. Well, I went three and a half hours in this game without winning a single pot. Unlike the no limit games where I can admit I may have been outmatched, these players sucked and were just getting continually lucky all night long while I was running incredibly bad. I saw a dude put in 4 bets on an all broadway flop with nothing but a back door flush draw and take the pot down with running sevens. It was sick. Everyone was playing so bad and I couldn’t get ANY of it! What it amounted to was the worst $4-$8 session of my life…or at least since I’ve been sober. Maybe I should have called it a night after four or five racks, but when you see everyone at the table playing so poorly, it’s tough to let them keep it. Luck has to even out in the long run, right? Well, it didn’t that night and I lost over nine racks. The good news is I made six and a half of those racks back in the $4-$8 games the rest of he trip… But damn, that loss stung and it put me in a pretty poor state of mind to start my trip.

The good news is that I cashed in two of the six tournaments I played and had a winning series for my backers. Unfortunately, I bubbled the final table in one of the events and neither of my cashes were too meaningful. I felt like I was playing good, deep stack tournament poker in four of the six tournaments I played. I played the limit hold em event on my own tab and on absolutely zero sleep. It was a bad idea. I suppose the lesson there is: just because you can’t sleep doesn’t mean you should go gamble. I’ve come to find out that one of the bigger leaks in my poker game is restlessness and playing when I’m tired or grumpy can be detrimental to my win rate. While I’m able to overcome these mental handicaps at times (when I’m running good), there are times when I’m clearly off my A game and losing more money than I need to be (when I’m bad).

I’m looking forward to the Fall Round Up and having my first winning trip to Pendleton. Hopefully my bankroll will be in even better shape and I’ll have much more no limit cash game experience by then. Also, I’m going to open up my action to more people and sell it at premium, so there’s less pressure on myself and my few backers to perform well. At times, especially deep in tournaments, I’m hesitant to make what I feel is the right play, because doing so and being wrong might cost me my tournament. But I have a pretty good feel for this game and going with my gut is usually correct and people invest in me because they trust my abilities. Next trip, it’s time to stop trying to cash and bring home a big prize. I got you guys.

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Pendleton Event #1 Write-Up

April 13, 2012

Ugh, it’s 4pm and I’m already doing a write-up for the first event.  You know that’s not a good sign.  Can’t say I’m displeased with how I played, I just had some bad connections at the wrong times.  Here’s a play-by-play of some of my more critical hands, as most of the other hands I play were open-raise and take it down, or open-raise and fold to a re-raise, or open-raise, continuation bet and take it down.

First orbit, blinds 25-50, I open to 150 with KK and next position re-raises to 450 and small blind calls.  I 3-bet to 2250 (too much?) and both players muck.

Blinds are 50-100 and I open to 300 with JJ.  Player to my right re-raises to 1250 and it folds back to me.  I already have a read on the dude from previous hands and put him on a bigger pair.  I look at both of our stacks and even though I think I’ll get his whole stack if I flop a set, I don’t think I’m getting the implied odds to try for it.  Also, if I flop an overpair to the board I might convince myself to change my read and get into serious trouble, so I just muck it.  He shows me two aces and says “I don’t want you to think I’m picking on you.”

Player to my right has been completely running over the table, opening almost every hand and betting recklessly after the flop.  I’ve been itching to get involved with him and haven’t found a good spot.  Folds to him in SB and he raises to 800 with blinds at 100-200.  I call with 5h3h hoping to hit a big flop in position against him.  It comes down 33T and he fires 1800.  He’s been playing crazy and I’ve been eyeing him for several hands so I feel like he knows I’ve been waiting to put him in his place and with that in mind, I might as well give him what he’s expecting and raise it up to 4000.  He instacalls and then instaships it when a 7 hits on the turn.  Pretty easy call for me and he tables A4 high, drawing completely dead.  NH sir, and thanks.

 

I have solid reads on my whole table and they are all playing pretty weak tight so I have been ramping up the aggression and raising with a wide range of hands Qs8s, Th9h, 7d6d, 62o, K2o, etc. and having good results… so naturally, the table breaks and I’m moved to a new one with all fresh faces. Folds to the button in my first orbit at the table and he opens to 1300 with blinds @ 200-400. I look down at AK. He has a stack of about 7000-9000, somewhere in that range. I have around 13-15k. Seems standard to make a pot-committing raise against his stack size, so I bump it to 4700, he ships, I call and he shows AA. Yay! Down to $5K.

Build my stack back up to over 8k at another new table. I open to 1500 with AdKd and blinds at 300-600 with a 75 ante. Folds to BB and he calls. Flop comes 923 with two diamonds. BB checks to me and I make a pot-committing bet of 4000. He check-raises all-in, I call and he shows Kh9h and I whiff my 12-outer and come upstairs to write this stupid fucking blog. Nap time!

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TDK’s College Basketball Top 25

February 28, 2012

A little late with this, but here we go:

TOP 25:

1. Kentucky (28-1)
Last Week: #1

2. Syracuse (29-1)
Last Week: #2

3. Duke (25-4)
Last Week: #4

4. Kansas (24-5)
Last Week: #5

5. Michigan State (24-5)
Last Week: #6

6. North Carolina (25-4)
Last Week: #8

7. Missouri (25-4)
Last Week: #3

8. Ohio State (23-6)
Last Week: #7

9. Baylor (24-5)
Last Week: #9

10. Marquette (23-5)
Last Week: #11

11. Murray State (28-1)
Last Week: #12

12. Georgetown (21-6)
Last Week: #10

13. Michigan (21-8)
Last Week: #13

14. UNLV (24-6)
Last Week: #16

15. Wisconsin (21-8)
Last Week: #17

16. Indiana (22-7)
Last Week: #20

17. Florida State (19-8)
Last Week: #14

18. Louisville (22-7)
Last Week: Unranked

19. Notre Dame (20-9)
Last Week: #15

20. Florida (22-7)
Last Week: #18

21. Wichita State (26-4)
Last Week: #23

22. Gonzaga (23-5)
Last Week: #19

23. Temple (22-6)
Last Week: #21

24. San Diego State (22-6)
Last Week: #24

25. Creighton (25-5)
Last Week: #25

DROPPED OUT:

22. New Mexico (22-6)
Last Week: Unranked

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TDK’s College Basketball Top 25

February 20, 2012

TOP 25:

1. Kentucky (26-1)
Last Week: #1

2. Syracuse (27-1)
Last Week: #2

3. Missouri (25-2)
Last Week: #3

4. Duke (23-4)
Last Week: #5

5. Kansas (22-5)
Last Week: #6

6. Michigan State (22-5)
Last Week: #7

7. Ohio State (22-5)
Last Week: #4

8. North Carolina (23-4)
Last Week: #9

9. Baylor (22-5)
Last Week: #8

10. Georgetown (20-5)
Last Week: #10

11. Marquette (22-5)
Last Week: #12

12. Murray State (26-1)
Last Week: #17

13. Michigan (20-7)
Last Week: #18

14. Florida State (19-7)
Last Week: #20

15. Notre Dame (19-8)
Last Week: #21

16. UNLV (22-6)
Last Week: #11

17. Wisconsin (20-7)
Last Week: #13

18. Florida (21-6)
Last Week: #22

19. Gonzaga (21-5)
Last Week: #14

20. Indiana (20-7)
Last Week: #19

21. Temple (21-5)
Last Week: #24

22. New Mexico (22-4)
Last Week: Unranked

23. Wichita State (24-4)
Last Week: #25

24. San Diego State (20-6)
Last Week: #15

25. Creighton (23-5)
Last Week: Unranked

DROPPED OUT:

16. St. Mary’s (23-5)
23. Louisville (21-6)

BUBBLE:

California (22-6)
Harvard (23-3)
Southern Miss (22-5)
Vanderbilt (19-8)
Virginia (20-6)

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TDK College Basketball Top 25

February 13, 2012

TOP 25:

1. Kentucky (25-1)
Last Week: #1

2. Syracuse (25-1)
Last Week: #2

3. Missouri (23-2)
Last Week: #5

4. Ohio State (21-4)
Last Week: #4

5. Duke (21-4)
Last Week: #7

6. Kansas (20-5)
Last Week: #9

7. Michigan State (20-5)
Last Week: #11

8. Baylor (21-4)
Last Week: #3

9. North Carolina (21-4)
Last Week: #6

10. Georgetown (19-5)
Last Week: #8

11. UNLV (22-4)
Last Week: #12

12. Marquette (21-5)
Last Week: #17

13. Wisconsin (19-6)
Last Week: #19

14. Gonzaga (20-4)
Last Week: #21

15. San Diego State (20-4)
Last Week: #13

16. St. Mary’s (23-3)
Last Week: #14

17. Murray State (24-1)
Last Week: #10

18. Michigan (19-7)
Last Week: #22

19. Indiana (19-6)
Last Week: #23

20. Florida State (17-7)
Last Week: #18

21. Notre Dame (17-8)
Last Week: Unranked

22. Florida (19-6)
Last Week: #15

23. Louisville (20-5)
Last Week: Unranked

24. Temple (19-5)
Last Week: Unranked

25. Wichita State (22-4)
Last Week: Unranked

DROPPED OUT:

16. Creighton (21-5)

20. Virginia (19-5)

24. Mississippi State (19-6)

25. Harvard (21-3)

BUBBLE:

Alabama (16-8)
California (20-6)
Connecticut (15-9)
Illinois (16-9)
New Mexico (20-4)
Southern Miss (21-4)
Vanderbilt (17-8)
West Virginia (16-10)

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The Dark Knight’s College Basketball Top 25

February 6, 2012

TOP 25:

1. Kentucky (23-1)
Key Wins: (n)#12 Kansas, (n)ODU, #5 UNC, #4 UL, Arkansas, Alabama
Key Losses: @IU
Last Week: #1
RPI: #5
SoS: #71
v.Top 50: 4-1
v.Top 100: 3-0

2. Syracuse (23-1)
Key Wins: (n)VT, (n)Stanford, #10 Florida, Marshall, @NCS, SHU, #20 Marquette, Villanova, Pitt, @UC, WV
Key Losses: @ND
Last Week: #2
RPI: #1
SoS: #12
v.Top 50: 4-0
v.Top 100: 8-1

3. Baylor (21-2)
Key Wins: SDSU, @Northwestern, @BYU, (n)SMC, (n)WV, #15 Miss St, TAMU, @#18 KSU, @OU, Texas, @TAMU
Key Losses: @#7 KU, #5 Mizzou
Last Week: #3
RPI: #3
SoS: #18
v.Top 50: 7-2
v.Top 100: 2-0

4. Ohio State (20-3)
Key Wins: #7 Florida, #3 Duke, Northwestern, #7 IU, #20 Michigan, @#19 Wisconsin
Key Losses: @#13 Kansas, @#13 Indiana, @Illinois
Last Week: #4
RPI: #4
SoS: #20
v.Top 50: 6-3
v.Top 100: 2-0

5. Missouri (21-2)
Key Wins: NDU, (n)#20 Cal, (n)Villanova, #25 Illinois, @ODU, OU, Texas, TAMU, @#3 Baylor, @Texas, #8 KU
Key Losses: @#23 KSU, @OKSU
Last Week: #7
RPI: #9
SoS: #85
v.Top 50: 5-1
v.Top 100: 6-0

6. North Carolina (20-3)
Key Wins: (n)MSU, #9 Wisconsin, LBSU, Texas, Miami, NCST, @UMD
Key Losses: @UNLV, @#1 Kentucky, @FSU
Last Week: #6
RPI: #6
SoS: #30
v.Top 50: 3-3
v.Top 100: 5-0

7. Duke (19-4)
Key Wins: (n)MSU, (n)Tennessee, (n)#15 Michigan, (n)#14 Kansas, (n)UW, #16 UVA, @UMD
Key Losses: @#2 OSU, @Temple, @FSU, Miami
Last Week: #5
RPI: #2
SoS: #1
v.Top 50: 5-3
v.Top 100: 5-0

8. Georgetown (18-4)
Key Wins: (n)#8 Memphis, @#12 Alabama, Memphis, @#4 UL, #20 Marquette, UCONN
Key Losses: (n)#14 Kansas, @WV, UC, @Pitt
Last Week: #11
RPI: #13
SoS: #21
v.Top 50: 6-2
v.Top 100: 1-2

9. Kansas (18-5)
Key Wins: (n)Georgetown, (n)UCLA, LBSU, #2 OSU, #23 KSU, @OU, #3 Baylor, Texas, TAMU, OU
Key Losses: (n)#2 Kentucky, (n)#6 Duke, Davidson, @Iowa St, @#4 Mizzou
Last Week: #9
RPI: #8
SoS: #3
v.Top 50: 6-4
v.Top 100: 4-1

10. Murray State (23-0)
Key Wins: Dayton, @#21 Memphis
Key Losses:
Last Week: #12
RPI: #38
SoS: #270
v.Top 50: 2-0
v.Top 100: 1-0

11. Michigan State (18-5)
Key Wins: FSU, @#23 Gonzaga, #13 Indiana, @#18 Wisconsin, Purdue, Minnesota, #23 Michigan
Key Losses: (n)#1 UNC, (n)#6 Duke, @Northwestern, @#20 Michigan, @Illinois
Last Week: #8
RPI: #11
SoS: #11
v.Top 50: 4-5
v.Top 100: 3-0

12. UNLV (21-4)
Key Wins: #1 UNC, UCSB, @#19 Illinois, Cal, NM, Colorado St
Key Losses: @Wichita St, @#14 Wisconsin, @#22 SDSU, @Wyoming
Last Week: #10
RPI: #9
SoS: #52
v.Top 50: 5-3
v.Top 100: 1-1

13. San Diego State (20-3)
Key Wins: LBSU, @#23 Arizona, #24 Cal, #12 UNLV, @NM
Key Losses: @# 11 Baylor, Creighton, @Colorado St
Last Week: #15
RPI: #20
SoS: #85
v.Top 50: 4-3
v.Top 100: 2-0

14. St. Mary’s (22-2)
Key Wins: (n)Missouri St, BYU, #21 GU, @BYU
Key Losses: @Denver, (n)#6 Baylor
Last Week: #16
RPI: #23
SoS: #122
v.Top 50: 4-1
v.Top 100: 2-1

15. Florida (19-4)
Key Wins: Arizona, #22 TAMU, FSU, Georgia, #18 Miss St, #25 Vanderbilt
Key Losses: @#3 OSU, @#4 Syracuse, @Rutgers, @Tenn
Last Week: #22
RPI: #14
SoS: #64
v.Top 50: 3-2
v.Top 100: 3-0

16. Creighton (21-3)
Key Wins: @SDSU, Northwestern, @Wichita St, UNI, @MOST
Key Losses: @St Joes, Missouri St, @UNI
Last Week: #13
RPI: #16
SoS: #90
v.Top 50: 4-2
v.Top 100: 2-1

17. Marquette (19-5)
Key Wins: @#9 Wisconsin, (n)UW, Villanova, Pitt, #23 UL, @Nova, SHU
Key Losses: @LSU, Vandy, @#9 G’town, @#1 Syracuse, @UND
Last Week: #14
RPI: #12
SoS: #17
v.Top 50: 3-3
v.Top 100: 6-2

18. Florida State (16-6)
Key Wins: UCF, @VT, #3 UNC, UMD, @#4 Duke, #16 UVA
Key Losses: (n)Harvard, (n)#4 UCONN, @MSU, @#11 UF, Princeton, @Clemson
Last Week: #23
RPI: #18
SoS: #8
v.Top 50: 3-4
v.Top 100: 4-0

19. Wisconsin (18-6)
Key Wins: (n)BYU, UNLV, @Purdue, Northwestern, @#22 Illinois, #16 IU
Key Losses: @#5 UNC, #16 Marquette, Iowa, #10 MSU, @#16 Michigan, #3 OSU
Last Week: #18
RPI: #28
SoS: #16
v.Top 50: 5-5
v.Top 100: 3-0

20. Virginia (18-4)
Key Wins: (n)Drexel, #14 Michigan, George Mason, @LSU, Miami, @NC St, Clemson
Key Losses: (n)TCU, @#8 Duke, VT, @#21 FSU
Last Week: #17
RPI: #40
SoS: #115
v.Top 50: 1-2
v.Top 100: 5-1

21. Gonzaga (18-4)
Key Wins: NDU, Arizona, Butler, @Xavier
Key Losses: Illinois, MSU, @SMC, @BYU
Last Week: #20
RPI: #24
SoS: #74
v.Top 50: 2-4
v.Top 100: 2-0

22. Michigan (17-7)
Key Wins: (n)#8 Memphis, (n)UCLA, Minnesota, #18 Wisconsin, Northwestern, #9 MSU, @Purdue, #20 IU
Key Losses: (n)#6 Duke, @UVA, @#12 IU, @Iowa, @Arkansas, @#4 OSU, @#9 MSU
Last Week: #19
RPI: #15
SoS: #13
v.Top 50: 6-4
v.Top 100: 2-1

23. Indiana (18-6)
Key Wins: Butler, @NCSU, #1 UK, @UND, #2 OSU, #16 Michigan, @Purdue
Key Losses: @#16 MSU, Minnesota, @#5 OSU, @Nebraska, @#25 Wisconsin, @#23 Michigan
Last Week: #21
RPI: #17
SoS: #32
v.Top 50: 3-4
v.Top 100: 3-2

24. Mississippi State (18-5)
Key Wins: (n)#19 A&M, (n)#15 Arizona, WV, Utah St, Tennessee, Alabama, @Vandy
Key Losses: Akron, @#6 Baylor, @Arkansas, @Ole Miss, @#14 UF
Last Week: #24
RPI: #34
SoS: #67
v.Top 50: 3-2
v.Top 100: 2-3

25. Harvard (20-2)
Key Wins: (n)#22 FSU, (n)UCF, St Joes
Key Losses: @#9 UCONN, @Fordham
Last Week: #25
RPI: #39
SoS: #210
v.Top 50: 2-1
v.Top 100: 1-0

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The Dark Knight Rises: An Epic Month Of Gambling

February 2, 2012

“Allow me to reintroduce myself: my name is…”

When filmmaker Christopher Nolan revealed the final installment in his Batman trilogy was going to be called The Dark Knight Rises I wasn’t an instant fan of the name. Several months later, I can’t imagine a better one now that I’ve adopted his film’s title as my own personal mantra for 2012. For whatever reason–the girl I was recently dating would say ego–I felt like I needed a poker nickname. I mean, all the top notch card pros have one, right? What if I blow up someday? Make a TV final table? Are people going to know me as Mike Coombs? My friends in real life don’t even call me that. Maccent? Retired. Mac? Not good enough! So I made it a goal in December to figure out a proper nickname, even going as far as asking for help on Facebook. Bat-Mac? Cute, Mom, but this is grown man business. Birdcage? LOOOOOOOOOL. Nice needle, Ethan. The Serial Killer? Kinda dark, bro. How about Mac The Ripper then? Why yes…excellent. I actually ran with that for a couple weeks and even had a few people referring to me by it. Looking back, I can’t help but think what a tragic mistake that would have been. Then my buddy Vince started calling me The Dark Knight and after some initial resistance on my part, it all started to make perfect sense. My obsession with all things Batman is well-known, as is my complete inability to sleep at night, mostly due to a tireless work ethic when it comes to playing cards; much like Bruce Wayne constantly sacrifices his own personal well-being for the sake of Gotham City, I put my poker career before anything else, even my own health. No, seriously, I played over 220 hours of poker last month. Holy mackarel, Batman, I AM THE DARK KNIGHT.

The designation couldn’t have come at a better time. I was fresh off my first Royal Flush Jackpot and had completely turned my life around, a story you can read in this post. Since officially donning the cape and the cowl, I’ve been on the most ridiculous heater of my life. January 2012 was easily the best month of gambling I’ve had since summer of 2005 and quite possibly my most lucrative month of all-time. To put things in perspective, I had a solid 2011; for someone that had a good day job most of the year and only played small stakes poker, I turned a pretty serious gambling profit for the year. I made $348 less in January alone than I did all of last year combined. If you include the wages I get paid for propping the poker game at All-Star Lanes (and I don’t), then I’ve already made more money gambling in 2012 than I did in 2011. Sick.

I previously noted my life-changing turning point in the post I linked in that last paragraph. The run I’ve been on since that day has been completely absurd. I don’t know if the day’s events lit a fire under my ass or if karma has been rewarding me for having to put up with a bunch of nonsense, but I’ve been CRUSHING ever since. I hit that Royal Flush Jackpot on the 7th, then between January 13th and January 21st, I finished 2nd or better in 5 of 8 tournaments for a $1043 profit, including a 6-way chop @ Freddie’s $110 buy-in tournament that I had to share with a backer (45%) and my running partner (10%). I started propping for All-Star Lanes on January 13th and demolished the game all month long. In 100 hours, I profited $2,476 and that doesn’t include my hourly wage. I decided not to clock on one night so that I could earn hours for their freeroll and hit the All-Star Strike for $375, a jackpot I would not have been eligible for if I was working. I finished the month with seven straight winning sessions. I won $812 in match play bets on the black jack table. I randomly decided to play a day session on the last day of the month (I always play at night) and crushed the game for +$500. I hit every draw I had and I made it hurt. Everything just seemed to be going my way in January.

Well… almost everything. I’m sure some people were getting pretty sick of my run good and I can’t say it hasn’t been getting to my head. I mean, I’ve felt like I could walk on water and do no wrong at times, but I can assure you, I did not have a perfect month. I played my first $8-$16 session of the year at Parkers this past month and had my worst losing day in well over a year (-$636). To make matters worse, I usually sell half my action in that game, but that night I decided to take a shot and I felted over three racks without ever winning a hand. BRUTAL. This past week, I got shutout in Clearwater’s Poker Series. I lost almost $960 in buy-ins, despite having respectable finishes of 9th in the $250 NLHE event and 12th in the $250 H.O.R.S.E. event. A decent showing, but with such a pathetic turnout for the series I didn’t make any money for my performance. In the one event that was worth going deep in, the $460 NLHE Main Event, I busted out just shy of making it to Day 2. Fortunately (for myself), I had solid backing for all those events and only lost about $400 of my own money. But the series left me still waiting for that first big event cash. I have now whiffed the six events total at the Pendleton Round-Up and the Clearwater Series in the past few months and it has me feeling like I have something serious to prove. I haven’t been to Clearwater in years and it’s kind of weird for me to go into a local card room and not have everyone know who I am. While anonymity can be to one’s advantage when it comes to poker, fuck it, I like the recognition. I don’t want to fly under the radar; fear and respect me or figure it out the hard way.

Despite those setbacks, January was an incredible month. That kind of success is unsustainable, but if I can maintain even half that win rate in the All-Star Lanes game, I’m going to have a monster 2012. It didn’t take long into February for me to be humbled. I was worried that as soon as the calendar flipped so might my doom switch and today was a spectacularly bad day. Not only did I run bad, but I admittedly played like shit and lost more than was necessary. Oh well, challenge accepted: I now have a decent-sized hole to dig myself out of for the month, but The Dark Knight always seems to find his way out of sticky situations. Will he turn this rough start into another profitable month or is this the start of the end? Stay tuned next month. Same Bat-Time, same Bat-channel.

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The Dark Knight’s College Basketball Rankings: Top 25 & Bubble

January 30, 2012

TOP 25:

1. Kentucky (21-1)
Last Week: #1

2. Syracuse (22-1)
Last Week: #2

3. Baylor (19-2)
Last Week: #5

4. Ohio State (19-3)
Last Week: #3

5. Duke (18-3)
Last Week: #6

6. North Carolina (18-3)
Last Week: #9

7. Missouri (19-2)
Last Week: #4

8. Michigan State (17-4)
Last Week: #10

9. Kansas (17-4)
Last Week: #7

10. UNLV (20-3)
Last Week: #13

11. Georgetown (16-4)
Last Week: #8

12. Murray State (21-0)
Last Week: #14

13. Creighton (20-2)
Last Week: #17

14. Marquette (18-4)
Last Week: #21

15. San Diego State (18-3)
Last Week: #11

16. St. Mary’s (21-2)
Last Week: #16

17. Virginia (17-3)
Last Week: #19

18. Wisconsin (17-5)
Last Week: #22

19. Michigan (16-6)
Last Week: #18

20. Gonzaga (17-3)
Last Week: #20

21. Indiana (17-5)
Last Week: #12

22. Florida (17-4)
Last Week: Unranked

23. Florida State (14-6)
Last Week: Unranked

24. Mississippi State (17-5)
Last Week: #15

25. Harvard (18-2)
Last Week: Unranked

DROPPED OUT:

23. Illinois (15-6)
Last Week: #23

24. Connecticut (14-6)
Last Week: #24

25. West Virginia (15-7)
Last Week: #25

BUBBLE:

Alabama (14-7)
California (17-5)
Kansas State (15-5)
Louisville (17-5)
New Mexico (17-4)
Notre Dame (14-8)
Southern Miss (19-3)
Temple (15-5)
Vanderbilt (16-5)
Wichita State (18-4)

Notes:

-Upon further investigation, it seems silly that Ohio State was ranked ahead of Baylor. Not only did I make this mistake, but so did both national polls. I’m fixing my error this week, but the AP and ESPN Polls almost certainly won’t. Here are the facts: Baylor is 9-2 against top 100 teams, while OSU is only 6-3. Baylor’s two losses were to #5 and #7; OSU has lost three games, including one to an unranked Illinois squad. Baylor is 3rd in RPI and 11th in strength of schedule; OSU is 9th and 46th. In what world has Ohio State had the better year?

-Missouri at #2 in the national polls last week was inexcusable and it didn’t take long for the Tigers to prove themselves unworthy when they lost to an NIT bound Oklahoma State team. Missouri is a bit of an enigma. They have looked awfully strong at times and are 8-1 against the top 100, but only rank 106th in strength of schedule. Personally, I can’t imagine them as a final four team.

-Kansas losing at Iowa State was pretty surprising. That said, KU still looks like one of the strongest teams in the nation and Thomas Robinson should be the current front-runner for National Player Of The Year.

-This thing with Murray State is starting to get ridiculous. It’s cool that they are undefeated and all, but how high can they reasonably climb up the rankings? This is a team that is currently ranked #12 in my poll but would likely be an underdog in their first game of the NCAA tournament. They’ve only posted two quality wins and those came against Dayton and a Memphis team that hasn’t sniffed the top 25 since the first couple weeks of the season. With only three games against the top 100 and a #226 ranking in strength of schedule, we really have no idea how good this team is. I can’t imagine them cracking my top 10… even if they finish the year without a loss. That’s just… silly.

-Florida cracks my top 25 again, but their rankings in the national polls are a bit absurd (14 & 13). Until this weekend when they beat #18 Mississippi State, their marquee wins were against Arizona and Texas A&M teams that were overrated at the start of the season.

-Florida State also cracks the top 25 on the strength of wins over North Carolina and Duke… plus they share the ACC lead with a 5-1 record.

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College Basketball Top 25: MacRankings

January 23, 2012

Sleepy, commentary coming tomorrow.

TOP 25:

1. Kentucky (19-1)
Last Week: #2

2. Syracuse (20-1)
Last Week: #1

3. Ohio State (17-3)
Last Week: #5

4. Missouri (18-1)
Last Week: #6

5. Baylor (17-2)
Last Week: #3

6. Duke (16-3)
Last Week: #4

7. Kansas (16-3)
Last Week: #7

8. Georgetown (16-3)
Last Week: #10

9. North Carolina (16-3)
Last Week: #11

10. Michigan State (16-4)
Last Week: #8

11. San Diego State (17-2)
Last Week: #13

12. Indiana (16-4)
Last Week: #9

13. UNLV (18-3)
Last Week: #14

14. Murray State (20-0)
Last Week: #16

15. Mississippi State (16-4)
Last Week: #17

16. St. Mary’s (19-2)
Last Week: #20

17. Creighton (18-2)
Last Week: #22

18. Michigan (15-5)
Last Week: #12

19. Virginia (15-3)
Last Week: #18

20. Gonzaga (16-3)
Last Week: #23

21. Marquette (16-4)
Last Week: #25

22. Wisconsin (16-5)
Last Week: #24

23. Illinois (15-5)
Last Week: #19

24. Connecticut (14-5)
Last Week: #15

25. West Virginia (15-5)
Last Week: Unranked

DROPPED OUT:

21. Louisville (15-5)
Last Week: #21

BUBBLE:

Alabama (13-6)
Cincinnati (15-5)
Dayton (14-5)
Florida (15-4)
Florida State (13-6)
Harvard (16-2)
Kansas State (13-4)
New Mexico (15-4)
Seton Hall (15-4)
Temple (13-5)
Vanderbilt (14-5)
Wichita State (17-3)